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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Jalin Turner won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1528

Elo1503

Jalin TurnervsKaue FernandesUFC Prediction Result

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Saturday, August 15, 2026Philadelphia, USA

Official fight result

Jalin Turner won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:39

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Kaue Fernandes

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Kaue Fernandes at +138 American odds · hypothetical only

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Style matchupJalin Turner: Pressure fightervsKaue Fernandes: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kaue Fernandes enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jalin Turner is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Kaue Fernandes has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Kaue Fernandes has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jalin Turner has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jalin Turner

Red Corner

Kaue Fernandes

Blue Corner

-166

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+138

(42%)

1528

Elo

1503

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'9"

195.58 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jalin Turner

oldest →

vs Dan Hooker · Jul 23

KOvs King Green · Dec 23

KOvs Renato Moicano · Apr 24

SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Mar 25

KOvs Edson Barboza · Dec 25

latest

Kaue FernandesW3 streak

oldest →

vs Marc Diakiese · Nov 23

KOvs Mohammad Yahya · Aug 24

vs Guram Kutateladze · Mar 25

KOvs Harry Hardwick · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jalin TurnerMetricKaue Fernandes

5.79

Strikes / min

4.28

4.54

Strikes absorbed / min

1.42

41%

Strike defense

62%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

1.18

75%

Takedown defense

76%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.25Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap+2.86

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jalin Turner(10 fights)Kaue Fernandes(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.9|Blue -24.9

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -91.0|Blue +91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jalin TurnerTargetKaue Fernandes

By target zone

73% acc · 89%

Head

50% acc · 50%

50% acc · 11%

Body

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 50%

By position

25% acc · 11%

Distance

50% acc · 100%

Clinch

80% acc · 89%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jalin Turner rounds

even

Kaue Fernandes rounds

Round 1Jalin Turner edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 14

Sig Strikes

2 / 4

64%

Sig Str %

50%

9 / 14

Total Strikes

2 / 4

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Kaue Fernandes	2 / 4	2 / 4	0 / 0	0
1	Jalin Turner	9 / 14	9 / 14	0 / 0	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Jalin Turner

Odds

-166

Market-implied probability

Kaue Fernandes 40%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Jalin Turner$160

Kaue Fernandes (model pick · research)$238

40% market-implied · model 55% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · never rewritten

Jalin Turner

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights15

Kaue Fernandes

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5