Lightweight
3 Rounds
Valmir Lazaro won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 28, 2015·Los Angeles, California, USA, USA
Style matchupJames Krause: Pressure fightervsValmir Lazaro: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: James Krause wins(65.3%)
Actual result: Valmir Lazaro wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valmir Lazaro has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
James Krause
Red Corner
VS
Valmir Lazaro
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
39
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James Krause
oldest →latest
W
vs Alex White · Jan 18W
KOvs Warlley Alves · Aug 18W
KOvs Sergio Moraes · Nov 19L
vs Trevin Giles · Feb 20W
vs Claudio Silva · Oct 20Valmir LazaroL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs James Vick · Aug 14L
vs Michel Prazeres · Nov 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James KrauseMetricValmir Lazaro
4.79
Strikes / min
4.87
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
61%
Strike defense
61%
0.96
TDs / 15 min
1.33
59%
Takedown defense
96%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.68evenly matched on net striking+0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
James KrauseValmir Lazaro
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James Krause(10 fights)Valmir Lazaro(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.9-19.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+3.2-3.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
James Krause
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Valmir Lazaro
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3