Welterweight
3 Rounds
James Krause won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 25, 2018·Lincoln, Nebraska, USA, USA
Style matchupJames Krause: Pressure fightervsWarlley Alves: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: James Krause wins(72.6%)
Actual result: James Krause wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- James Krause has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
James Krause
Red Corner
VS
Warlley Alves
Blue Corner
+270
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-330
(77%)
39
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James Krause
oldest →latest
W
vs Tom Gallicchio · Jul 17W
vs Alex White · Jan 18W
KOvs Sergio Moraes · Nov 19L
vs Trevin Giles · Feb 20W
vs Claudio Silva · Oct 20Warlley AlvesL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James KrauseMetricWarlley Alves
4.79
Strikes / min
3.04
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
3.95
61%
Strike defense
50%
0.96
TDs / 15 min
1.22
59%
Takedown defense
62%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.68Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
James KrauseWarlley Alves
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James Krause(10 fights)Warlley Alves(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.811.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+118.0-118.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
James Krause
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Warlley Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16