Lightweight
3 Rounds
Chris Padilla won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJames Llontop: Pressure fightervsChris Padilla: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Chris Padilla wins(55.9%)
Actual result: Chris Padilla wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Padilla enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Chris Padilla has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
James Llontop
Red Corner
VS
Chris Padilla
Blue Corner
-455
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+350
(22%)
26
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James LlontopL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Aug 24L
vs Mauricio Ruffy · Nov 24Chris PadillaW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rongzhu · Sep 24W
vs Jai Herbert · Mar 25W
KOvs Ismael Bonfim · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James LlontopMetricChris Padilla
5.57
Strikes / min
6.19
4.12
Strikes absorbed / min
4.88
57%
Strike defense
49%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.13
54%
Takedown defense
80%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.45evenly matched on net striking+1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
James LlontopChris Padilla
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James Llontop(3 fights)Chris Padilla(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
James Llontop
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3
Chris Padilla
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4