Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alex Morono won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 17, 2016·Sacramento, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: James Moontasri wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Alex Morono wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alex Morono has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- James Moontasri has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors James Moontasri (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
James Moontasri
Red Corner
VS
Alex Morono
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
38
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James Moontasri
oldest →latest
L
vs Joe Ellenberger · Jun 14W
SUBvs Cody Pfister · Feb 15L
SUBvs Kevin Lee · Jul 15W
KOvs Anton Zafir · Nov 15L
vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 16Alex MoronoL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Court McGee · Apr 24L
vs Niko Price · Jun 24L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25L
vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James MoontasriMetricAlex Morono
2.39
Strikes / min
4.90
3.86
Strikes absorbed / min
4.88
40%
Strike defense
55%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.32
79%
Takedown defense
47%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.47Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap+0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
James MoontasriAlex Morono
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James Moontasri(6 fights)Alex Morono(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-34.534.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-203.0203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
James Moontasri
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6
Alex Morono
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights23