Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Justin Willis won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, July 16, 2017·Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Justin Willis wins(59.5%)
Actual result: Justin Willis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Willis has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Willis (53.5%).
- Justin Willis has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
James Mulheron
Red Corner
VS
Justin Willis
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James MulheronNo prior UFC fights on record.
Justin Willis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Allen Crowder · Dec 17W
vs Chase Sherman · Apr 18W
vs Mark Hunt · Dec 18L
vs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James MulheronMetricJustin Willis
2.40
Strikes / min
3.37
3.47
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
42%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.96
25%
Takedown defense
36%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.07Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap+0.80
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James Mulheron(1 fights)Justin Willis(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
James Mulheron
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights1
Justin Willis
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5