Lightweight
3 Rounds
Paul Felder won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, February 17, 2019·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupJames Vick: Well-roundedvsPaul Felder: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Paul Felder wins(60.4%)
Actual result: Paul Felder wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- James Vick enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- James Vick has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- James Vick has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
James Vick
Red Corner
VS
Paul Felder
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
39
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James VickL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joe Duffy · Nov 17W
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 18L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Aug 18L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jul 19L
KOvs Niko Price · Oct 19Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 17L
vs Mike Perry · Jul 18W
vs Edson Barboza · Sep 19L
vs Dan Hooker · Feb 20L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James VickMetricPaul Felder
4.13
Strikes / min
3.70
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
60%
Strike defense
48%
0.26
TDs / 15 min
0.29
57%
Takedown defense
64%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.82evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
James VickPaul Felder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James Vick(10 fights)Paul Felder(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+55.2-55.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
James Vick
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14
Paul Felder
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15