Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fares Ziam has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jamie Mullarkey
oldest →W
vs John Makdessi · Sep 23L
KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Dec 23L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · May 24W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Sep 25L
SUBvs Quillan Salkilld · Jan 26 Fares Ziam
oldest →W
vs Claudio Puelles · Feb 24W
KOvs Matt Frevola · Sep 24W
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Dec 25L
DECvs Tom Nolan · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jamie MullarkeyMetricFares Ziam
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.18Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap+1.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jamie MullarkeyFares Ziam
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jamie Mullarkey(10 fights)Fares Ziam(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -35.8|Blue +35.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jamie MullarkeyTargetFares Ziam
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Fares Ziam edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control0:31
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:03Control
Round 2Jamie Mullarkey edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns2
Control2:31
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jamie Mullarkey edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns2
Control3:54
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
