Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jamie Mullarkey won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 11, 2023·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Jamie Mullarkey wins(53.5%)
Actual result: Jamie Mullarkey wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francisco Prado enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francisco Prado is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jamie Mullarkey has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Jamie Mullarkey has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jamie Mullarkey has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jamie Mullarkey
Red Corner
VS
Francisco Prado
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
31
Age
23
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jamie Mullarkey
oldest →latest
W
vs John Makdessi · Sep 23L
KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Dec 23L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · May 24W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Sep 25L
SUBvs Quillan Salkilld · Jan 26Francisco PradoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Jul 23L
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Feb 24L
vs Jake Matthews · Feb 25L
vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jamie MullarkeyMetricFrancisco Prado
4.10
Strikes / min
3.68
4.28
Strikes absorbed / min
4.31
54%
Strike defense
54%
2.46
TDs / 15 min
0.76
70%
Takedown defense
40%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jamie MullarkeyFrancisco Prado
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jamie Mullarkey(10 fights)Francisco Prado(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Jamie Mullarkey
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13
Francisco Prado
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5