Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jamie Mullarkey won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 9, 2023·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupJamie Mullarkey: WrestlervsJohn Makdessi: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Jamie Mullarkey wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Jamie Mullarkey wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Makdessi has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Makdessi has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jamie Mullarkey has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jamie Mullarkey
Red Corner
VS
John Makdessi
Blue Corner
-298
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
31
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'8"
187.96 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jamie Mullarkey
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Muhammad Naimov · Jun 23L
KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Dec 23L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · May 24W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Sep 25L
SUBvs Quillan Salkilld · Jan 26John Makdessi
oldest →latest
W
vs Ross Pearson · Jul 18W
vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jamie MullarkeyMetricJohn Makdessi
4.10
Strikes / min
5.52
4.28
Strikes absorbed / min
4.15
54%
Strike defense
68%
2.46
TDs / 15 min
0.00
70%
Takedown defense
86%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.18Δ 1.55 — meaningful gap+1.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jamie MullarkeyJohn Makdessi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jamie Mullarkey(10 fights)John Makdessi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.437.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-273.0273.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.52.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Jamie Mullarkey
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13
John Makdessi
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights20