Lightweight
3 Rounds
Abel Trujillo won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 1, 2014·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupJamie Varner: WrestlervsAbel Trujillo: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jamie Varner wins(50.0%)
Actual result: Abel Trujillo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jamie Varner enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jamie Varner has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jamie Varner
Red Corner
VS
Abel Trujillo
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
41
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jamie VarnerL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Joe Lauzon · Aug 12W
vs Melvin Guillard · Dec 12L
vs Gleison Tibau · Aug 13L
KOvs James Krause · May 14L
SUBvs Drew Dober · Dec 14Abel TrujilloL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Gleison Tibau · Nov 15W
SUBvs Tony Sims · Jan 16W
vs Jordan Rinaldi · May 16L
SUBvs James Vick · Feb 17L
vs John Makdessi · Dec 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jamie VarnerMetricAbel Trujillo
2.92
Strikes / min
2.65
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
2.31
58%
Strike defense
59%
3.49
TDs / 15 min
2.18
66%
Takedown defense
40%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jamie VarnerAbel Trujillo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jamie Varner(7 fights)Abel Trujillo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.313.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Jamie Varner
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7
Abel Trujillo
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10