Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Jan Blachowicz won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 14, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJan Blachowicz: Well-roundedvsAleksandar Rakic: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Jan Blachowicz wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Jan Blachowicz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Aleksandar Rakic enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Aleksandar Rakic has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jan Blachowicz
Red Corner
VS
Aleksandar Rakic
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
43
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jan Blachowicz
oldest →latest
W
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 21L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25Aleksandar RakicL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Anthony Smith · Aug 20W
vs Thiago Santos · Mar 21L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 24L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 24L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jan BlachowiczMetricAleksandar Rakic
3.55
Strikes / min
4.13
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
52%
Strike defense
51%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.64
69%
Takedown defense
85%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41evenly matched on net striking+1.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jan BlachowiczAleksandar Rakic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Aleksandar Rakic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.9-21.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-238.0238.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jan Blachowicz
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21
Aleksandar Rakic
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights11