Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Ulberg won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 22, 2025·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupJan Blachowicz: Well-roundedvsCarlos Ulberg: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Carlos Ulberg wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Carlos Ulberg wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlos Ulberg enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Carlos Ulberg has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jan Blachowicz
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Ulberg
Blue Corner
+265
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-330
(77%)
43
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jan Blachowicz
oldest →latest
W
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 21L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25Carlos UlbergW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ihor Potieria · May 23W
SUBvs Da Woon Jung · Sep 23W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · May 24W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 24W
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jan BlachowiczMetricCarlos Ulberg
3.55
Strikes / min
6.57
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
52%
Strike defense
51%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.53
69%
Takedown defense
85%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41Δ 2.13 — meaningful gap+2.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jan BlachowiczCarlos Ulberg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Carlos Ulberg(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.4-7.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+483.0-483.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Jan Blachowicz
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21
Carlos Ulberg
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights10