Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Jan Blachowicz won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, March 6, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJan Blachowicz: Well-roundedvsIsrael Adesanya: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Jan Blachowicz wins(63.4%)
Actual result: Jan Blachowicz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Israel Adesanya (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jan Blachowicz
Red Corner
VS
Israel Adesanya
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
43
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'2"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jan Blachowicz
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25Israel AdesanyaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
vs Sean Strickland · Sep 23L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 24L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 25L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jan BlachowiczMetricIsrael Adesanya
3.55
Strikes / min
4.03
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
52%
Strike defense
55%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.05
69%
Takedown defense
76%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41evenly matched on net striking+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jan BlachowiczIsrael Adesanya
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Israel Adesanya(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-71.171.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jan Blachowicz
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21
Israel Adesanya
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19