Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jan Blachowicz won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 6, 2019·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJan Blachowicz: Well-roundedvsLuke Rockhold: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Jan Blachowicz wins(56.6%)
Actual result: Jan Blachowicz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luke Rockhold (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jan Blachowicz
Red Corner
VS
Luke Rockhold
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
43
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jan Blachowicz
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25Luke RockholdL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 15L
KOvs Michael Bisping · Jun 16W
KOvs David Branch · Sep 17L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Feb 18L
vs Paulo Costa · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jan BlachowiczMetricLuke Rockhold
3.55
Strikes / min
4.10
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.68
52%
Strike defense
53%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.70
69%
Takedown defense
65%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap+1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jan BlachowiczLuke Rockhold
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Luke Rockhold(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-40.340.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-378.0378.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jan Blachowicz
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21
Luke Rockhold
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights11