← All fights/Event page

Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

7 days away

Elo1493

Elo1602

Jan BlachowiczvsNavajo StirlingUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Fight begins in

Style matchupJan Blachowicz: Well-roundedvsNavajo Stirling: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

Unlock every pick — $9/month

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Navajo Stirling enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jan Blachowicz

Red Corner

Navajo Stirling

Blue Corner

+225

(31%)

Vegas Odds

-265

(73%)

1493

Elo

1602

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'4"

198.12 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jan Blachowicz

oldest →

SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22

vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23

vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25

vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25

latest

Navajo StirlingW5 streak

oldest →

vs Tuco Tokkos · Dec 24

vs Ivan Erslan · May 25

vs Rodolfo Bellato · Sep 25

KOvs Bruno Lopes · Mar 26

KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jan BlachowiczMetricNavajo Stirling

3.55

Strikes / min

6.25

3.14

Strikes absorbed / min

2.67

52%

Strike defense

58%

0.98

TDs / 15 min

0.98

69%

Takedown defense

82%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.41Δ 3.17 — meaningful gap+3.58

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Navajo Stirling(5 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO77%

Historical win share: Jan Blachowicz earned 42% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission23%

Historical win share: Jan Blachowicz earned 17% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Jan Blachowicz

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights21

Navajo Stirling

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights6