Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jan Blachowicz won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 15, 2018·Moscow, Moscow, Russia, Russia
Style matchupJan Blachowicz: Well-roundedvsNikita Krylov: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jan Blachowicz wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Jan Blachowicz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jan Blachowicz has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jan Blachowicz
Red Corner
VS
Nikita Krylov
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
43
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jan Blachowicz
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25Nikita Krylov
oldest →latest
W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Oct 22W
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25W
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jan BlachowiczMetricNikita Krylov
3.55
Strikes / min
4.36
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.59
52%
Strike defense
47%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
2.05
69%
Takedown defense
53%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap+1.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jan BlachowiczNikita Krylov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Nikita Krylov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.623.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-462.0462.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jan Blachowicz
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21
Nikita Krylov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21