Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jan Blachowicz
oldest →W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Aug 26 Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jan BlachowiczMetricThiago Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.41evenly matched on net striking+1.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jan BlachowiczThiago Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Thiago Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +38.1|Blue -38.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jan BlachowiczTargetThiago Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:05
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:08Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
