Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Thiago Santos won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 23, 2019·Prague, Czech Republic, Czech Republic
Style matchupJan Blachowicz: Well-roundedvsThiago Santos: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Jan Blachowicz wins(64.1%)
Actual result: Thiago Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Jan Blachowicz
Red Corner
VS
Thiago Santos
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
43
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
198.12 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jan Blachowicz
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jan BlachowiczMetricThiago Santos
3.55
Strikes / min
3.72
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
52%
Strike defense
53%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.88
69%
Takedown defense
65%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41evenly matched on net striking+1.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jan BlachowiczThiago Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Thiago Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-64.464.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jan Blachowicz
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21
Thiago Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24