Middleweight
5 Rounds
Caio Borralho won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, August 24, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJared Cannonier: Pressure fightervsCaio Borralho: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Jared Cannonier wins(50.5%)
Actual result: Caio Borralho wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Jared Cannonier
Red Corner
VS
Caio Borralho
Blue Corner
+260
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-325
(76%)
42
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared Cannonier
oldest →latest
W
vs Sean Strickland · Dec 22W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 23L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24W
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25L
vs Michael Page · Aug 25Caio Borralho
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 23W
vs Abus Magomedov · Nov 23W
KOvs Paul Craig · May 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 25W
vs Reinier de Ridder · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared CannonierMetricCaio Borralho
4.42
Strikes / min
3.47
4.35
Strikes absorbed / min
2.61
56%
Strike defense
60%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.25
64%
Takedown defense
76%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jared CannonierCaio Borralho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Cannonier(10 fights)Caio Borralho(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.916.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Jared Cannonier
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights20
Caio Borralho
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9