Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jared Cannonier won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 12, 2022·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupJared Cannonier: Pressure fightervsDerek Brunson: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Derek Brunson wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Jared Cannonier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Cannonier is a KO finisher (64% of wins). Derek Brunson has lost 86% of fights by KO.
- Derek Brunson has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Jared Cannonier
Red Corner
VS
Derek Brunson
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
42
Age
42
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared Cannonier
oldest →latest
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 23L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24L
vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24W
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25L
vs Michael Page · Aug 25Derek Brunson
oldest →latest
W
vs Ian Heinisch · Aug 19W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 20W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared CannonierMetricDerek Brunson
4.42
Strikes / min
3.51
4.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
56%
Strike defense
51%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
3.14
64%
Takedown defense
85%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jared CannonierDerek Brunson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Cannonier(10 fights)Derek Brunson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-89.789.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Jared Cannonier
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights20
Derek Brunson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21