Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Dominick Reyes won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 19, 2018·Santiago, Chile, Chile
Style matchupJared Cannonier: Pressure fightervsDominick Reyes: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Dominick Reyes wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Dominick Reyes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Cannonier is a KO finisher (64% of wins). Dominick Reyes has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Dominick Reyes has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Jared Cannonier
Red Corner
VS
Dominick Reyes
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
42
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared Cannonier
oldest →latest
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 23L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24L
vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24W
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25L
vs Michael Page · Aug 25Dominick Reyes
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Nov 22W
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jun 24W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 24W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Apr 25L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared CannonierMetricDominick Reyes
4.42
Strikes / min
4.99
4.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.40
56%
Strike defense
49%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
0.25
64%
Takedown defense
82%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap+1.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jared CannonierDominick Reyes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Cannonier(10 fights)Dominick Reyes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.813.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jared Cannonier
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights20
Dominick Reyes
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13