Middleweight
5 Rounds
Jared Cannonier won · KO/TKO R4
UFC Event·Saturday, February 15, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJared Cannonier: Pressure fightervsGregory Rodrigues: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Gregory Rodrigues wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Jared Cannonier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Cannonier enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Jared Cannonier is a KO finisher (64% of wins). Gregory Rodrigues has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jared Cannonier
Red Corner
VS
Gregory Rodrigues
Blue Corner
+194
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-240
(71%)
42
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared CannonierL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Sean Strickland · Dec 22W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 23L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24L
vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24L
vs Michael Page · Aug 25Gregory RodriguesW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brad Tavares · Feb 24W
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 24W
KOvs Jack Hermansson · Jun 25W
vs Roman Kopylov · Nov 25W
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared CannonierMetricGregory Rodrigues
4.42
Strikes / min
5.53
4.35
Strikes absorbed / min
4.78
56%
Strike defense
50%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.90
64%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jared CannonierGregory Rodrigues
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Cannonier(10 fights)Gregory Rodrigues(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.515.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Jared Cannonier
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights20
Gregory Rodrigues
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights13