Middleweight
5 Rounds
Jared Cannonier won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, August 21, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJared Cannonier: Pressure fightervsKelvin Gastelum: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Jared Cannonier wins(63.2%)
Actual result: Jared Cannonier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (54.1%).
- Jared Cannonier has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jared Cannonier
Red Corner
VS
Kelvin Gastelum
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
42
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'9"
195.58 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared Cannonier
oldest →latest
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 23L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24L
vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24W
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25L
vs Michael Page · Aug 25Kelvin Gastelum
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 23L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Dec 23W
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24L
vs Joe Pyfer · Jun 25W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared CannonierMetricKelvin Gastelum
4.42
Strikes / min
3.65
4.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.04
64%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jared CannonierKelvin Gastelum
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Cannonier(10 fights)Kelvin Gastelum(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-28.828.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+175.0-175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Jared Cannonier
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights20
Kelvin Gastelum
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24