Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jared Cannonier won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Friday, July 7, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jared Cannonier wins(70.5%)
Actual result: Jared Cannonier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Cannonier has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jared Cannonier has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jared Cannonier
Red Corner
VS
Nick Roehrick
Blue Corner
-350
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
42
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared Cannonier
oldest →latest
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 23L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24L
vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24W
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25L
vs Michael Page · Aug 25Nick RoehrickNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared CannonierMetricNick Roehrick
4.42
Strikes / min
2.31
4.35
Strikes absorbed / min
6.92
56%
Strike defense
44%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
0.00
64%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07Δ 4.68 — meaningful gap-4.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jared CannonierNick Roehrick
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Cannonier(10 fights)Nick Roehrick(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.7-3.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Jared Cannonier
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights20
Nick Roehrick
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach—
Fights1