Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jared Gordon won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 29, 2019·Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jared Gordon wins(68.0%)
Actual result: Jared Gordon wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Gordon has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jared Gordon has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dan Moret (53.5%).
- Dan Moret has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jared Gordon
Red Corner
VS
Dan Moret
Blue Corner
-350
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
37
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'0"
172.72 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared Gordon
oldest →latest
L
vs Paddy Pimblett · Dec 22W
KOvs Mark Madsen · Nov 23L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Jun 24W
KOvs Thiago Moises · May 25L
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Sep 25Dan MoretL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Apr 18L
vs Alex White · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared GordonMetricDan Moret
5.57
Strikes / min
2.67
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
3.56
55%
Strike defense
43%
1.91
TDs / 15 min
1.25
60%
Takedown defense
45%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.46Δ 2.35 — meaningful gap-0.89
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jared GordonDan Moret
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Gordon(10 fights)Dan Moret(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.3-32.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.6-2.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Jared Gordon
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights16
Dan Moret
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3