Flyweight
3 Rounds
Tim Elliott won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 15, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJared Papazian: StrikervsTim Elliott: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Jared Papazian wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Tim Elliott wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tim Elliott has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Jared Papazian
Red Corner
VS
Tim Elliott
Blue Corner
+175
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
38
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared PapazianL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mike Easton · Jan 12L
SUBvs Dustin Pague · Jun 12Tim ElliottW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Mar 22W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared PapazianMetricTim Elliott
3.33
Strikes / min
3.51
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
44%
Strike defense
56%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.61
50%
Takedown defense
59%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.48evenly matched on net striking+0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jared PapazianTim Elliott
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Papazian(3 fights)Tim Elliott(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.016.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-34.034.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jared Papazian
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3
Tim Elliott
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights21