Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Aleksei Oleinik won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 22, 2014·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jared Rosholt wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Aleksei Oleinik wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Rosholt has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jared Rosholt has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Aleksei Oleinik has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jared Rosholt
Red Corner
VS
Aleksei Oleinik
Blue Corner
-420
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+375
(21%)
39
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared Rosholt
oldest →latest
W
vs Soa Palelei · Jun 14W
KOvs Josh Copeland · Mar 15W
vs Tim Johnson · Aug 15W
vs Stefan Struve · Nov 15L
vs Roy Nelson · Feb 16Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →latest
L
vs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22L
vs Ilir Latifi · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared RosholtMetricAleksei Oleinik
2.08
Strikes / min
3.29
1.52
Strikes absorbed / min
3.80
59%
Strike defense
44%
1.83
TDs / 15 min
1.82
66%
Takedown defense
37%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.56Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jared RosholtAleksei Oleinik
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Rosholt(8 fights)Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.4-27.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Jared Rosholt
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8
Aleksei Oleinik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17