Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jared Rosholt won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2015·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jared Rosholt wins(64.9%)
Actual result: Jared Rosholt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Jared Rosholt
Red Corner
VS
Josh Copeland
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
39
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared Rosholt
oldest →latest
W
vs Soa Palelei · Jun 14L
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Nov 14W
vs Tim Johnson · Aug 15W
vs Stefan Struve · Nov 15L
vs Roy Nelson · Feb 16Josh Copeland
oldest →latest
L
vs Ruslan Magomedov · Nov 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared RosholtMetricJosh Copeland
2.08
Strikes / min
1.03
1.52
Strikes absorbed / min
3.01
59%
Strike defense
55%
1.83
TDs / 15 min
0.00
66%
Takedown defense
57%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.56Δ 2.54 — meaningful gap-1.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jared RosholtJosh Copeland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Rosholt(8 fights)Josh Copeland(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.4-39.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Jared Rosholt
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8
Josh Copeland
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach—
Fights2