Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Chase Sherman won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 9, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJared Vanderaa: Pressure fightervsChase Sherman: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Jared Vanderaa wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Chase Sherman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Chase Sherman enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Chase Sherman is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Jared Vanderaa has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Chase Sherman has 54pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jared Vanderaa
Red Corner
VS
Chase Sherman
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
34
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
203.2 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared VanderaaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Justin Tafa · May 21L
KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Oct 21L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Feb 22L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Oct 22Chase ShermanL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Parker Porter · Aug 21L
SUBvs Jake Collier · Jan 22L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Nov 22L
vs Karl Williams · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared VanderaaMetricChase Sherman
4.96
Strikes / min
6.04
5.67
Strikes absorbed / min
6.65
45%
Strike defense
52%
0.18
TDs / 15 min
0.09
20%
Takedown defense
74%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.71evenly matched on net striking-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jared VanderaaChase Sherman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Vanderaa(7 fights)Chase Sherman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.2-33.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jared Vanderaa
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights7
Chase Sherman
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15