Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jarno Errens won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 23, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Steven Nguyen wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Jarno Errens wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jarno Errens enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Steven Nguyen has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Steven Nguyen (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jarno Errens
Red Corner
VS
Steven Nguyen
Blue Corner
+136
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-162
(62%)
31
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jarno ErrensL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs William Gomis · Sep 22L
vs SeungWoo Choi · Aug 23L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Aug 24Steven Nguyen
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mohammad Yahya · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jarno ErrensMetricSteven Nguyen
3.29
Strikes / min
7.47
3.29
Strikes absorbed / min
7.10
61%
Strike defense
60%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.24
33%
Takedown defense
88%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
0.00evenly matched on net striking+0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jarno ErrensSteven Nguyen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jarno Errens(4 fights)Steven Nguyen(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-32.032.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Jarno Errens
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4
Steven Nguyen
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2