Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jordan Rinaldi won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 3, 2018·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupJason Knight: Submission grapplervsJordan Rinaldi: Submission grappler
Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.
Model Prediction: Jason Knight wins(63.0%)
Actual result: Jordan Rinaldi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Knight enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jason Knight has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jason Knight
Red Corner
VS
Jordan Rinaldi
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
33
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason KnightL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Alex Caceres · Jan 17W
KOvs Chas Skelly · May 17L
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Jul 17L
vs Gabriel Benitez · Dec 17L
vs Makwan Amirkhani · May 18Jordan RinaldiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Abel Trujillo · May 16W
vs Alvaro Herrera · Aug 17L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 18L
vs Arnold Allen · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason KnightMetricJordan Rinaldi
2.95
Strikes / min
1.56
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
2.32
51%
Strike defense
59%
1.31
TDs / 15 min
1.45
47%
Takedown defense
20%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07evenly matched on net striking-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jason KnightJordan Rinaldi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason Knight(9 fights)Jordan Rinaldi(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.5-15.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-120.0120.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jason Knight
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9
Jordan Rinaldi
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5