Middleweight
3 Rounds
John Salter won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 8, 2010·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupJason MacDonald: Submission grapplervsJohn Salter: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Jason MacDonald wins(51.3%)
Actual result: John Salter wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Salter is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jason MacDonald has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- John Salter has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Salter has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Salter (53.5%).
- Jason MacDonald has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jason MacDonald
Red Corner
VS
John Salter
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
50
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'1"
203.2 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason MacDonaldL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ryan Jensen · Apr 11L
KOvs Alan Belcher · Sep 11L
KOvs Tom Lawlor · May 12John Salter
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Dan Miller · Aug 10Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason MacDonaldMetricJohn Salter
1.55
Strikes / min
1.68
2.70
Strikes absorbed / min
1.68
46%
Strike defense
68%
1.43
TDs / 15 min
2.85
35%
Takedown defense
66%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.15Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jason MacDonaldJohn Salter
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason MacDonald(4 fights)John Salter(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jason MacDonald
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights4
John Salter
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2