Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jason Saggo won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 14, 2014·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Jason Saggo wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Jason Saggo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Saggo is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Josh Shockley has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Josh Shockley has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jason Saggo
Red Corner
VS
Josh Shockley
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
40
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason SaggoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Paul Felder · Oct 14W
KOvs Justin Salas · Mar 16W
vs Leandro Silva · Jun 16L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Dec 16L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Sep 17Josh Shockley
oldest →latest
L
vs Ivan Jorge · Feb 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason SaggoMetricJosh Shockley
2.50
Strikes / min
1.40
2.94
Strikes absorbed / min
1.75
52%
Strike defense
60%
2.33
TDs / 15 min
0.00
23%
Takedown defense
61%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking-0.35
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason Saggo(6 fights)Josh Shockley(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jason Saggo
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6
Josh Shockley
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach—
Fights2