Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jason Saggo won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 18, 2016·Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Leandro Silva wins(57.5%)
Actual result: Jason Saggo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leandro Silva has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Leandro Silva has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jason Saggo
Red Corner
VS
Leandro Silva
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason SaggoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Josh Shockley · Jun 14L
vs Paul Felder · Oct 14W
KOvs Justin Salas · Mar 16L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Dec 16L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Sep 17Leandro Silva
oldest →latest
L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 14W
SUBvs Charlie Brenneman · Nov 14W
vs Lewis Gonzalez · Jun 15W
vs Efrain Escudero · Nov 15L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason SaggoMetricLeandro Silva
2.50
Strikes / min
2.39
2.94
Strikes absorbed / min
2.08
52%
Strike defense
63%
2.33
TDs / 15 min
1.76
23%
Takedown defense
65%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jason SaggoLeandro Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason Saggo(6 fights)Leandro Silva(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.63.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jason Saggo
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6
Leandro Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7