Lightweight
3 Rounds
Paul Felder won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2014·Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupJason Saggo: WrestlervsPaul Felder: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Jason Saggo wins(50.7%)
Actual result: Paul Felder wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paul Felder has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Jason Saggo
Red Corner
VS
Paul Felder
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
40
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason SaggoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Josh Shockley · Jun 14W
KOvs Justin Salas · Mar 16W
vs Leandro Silva · Jun 16L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Dec 16L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Sep 17Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mike Perry · Jul 18W
vs James Vick · Feb 19W
vs Edson Barboza · Sep 19L
vs Dan Hooker · Feb 20L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason SaggoMetricPaul Felder
2.50
Strikes / min
3.70
2.94
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
52%
Strike defense
48%
2.33
TDs / 15 min
0.29
23%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jason SaggoPaul Felder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason Saggo(6 fights)Paul Felder(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Jason Saggo
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6
Paul Felder
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15