Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paul Felder has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason SaggoL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Josh Shockley · Jun 14W
KOvs Justin Salas · Mar 16W
vs Leandro Silva · Jun 16L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Dec 16L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Sep 17 Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Edson Barboza · Sep 19L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason SaggoMetricPaul Felder
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jason SaggoPaul Felder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason Saggo(6 fights)Paul Felder(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -29.1|Blue +29.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jason SaggoTargetPaul Felder
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jason Saggo edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns2
Control3:53
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Paul Felder edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control0:51
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:31Control
Round 3Jason Saggo edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns3
Control2:33
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:10Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
