Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rustam Khabilov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2016·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupJason Saggo: WrestlervsRustam Khabilov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Rustam Khabilov wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Rustam Khabilov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rustam Khabilov has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rustam Khabilov has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jason Saggo
Red Corner
VS
Rustam Khabilov
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
40
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason Saggo
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Josh Shockley · Jun 14L
vs Paul Felder · Oct 14W
KOvs Justin Salas · Mar 16W
vs Leandro Silva · Jun 16L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Sep 17Rustam Khabilov
oldest →latest
W
vs Leandro Silva · Sep 16W
vs Desmond Green · Sep 17W
vs Kajan Johnson · Sep 18L
vs Diego Ferreira · Feb 19W
vs Sergey Khandozhko · Nov 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason SaggoMetricRustam Khabilov
2.50
Strikes / min
1.98
2.94
Strikes absorbed / min
2.16
52%
Strike defense
65%
2.33
TDs / 15 min
3.95
23%
Takedown defense
61%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking-0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jason SaggoRustam Khabilov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason Saggo(6 fights)Rustam Khabilov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-39.539.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Jason Saggo
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6
Rustam Khabilov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13