Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Josh Quinlan won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 13, 2022·San Diego, California, USA, USA
Style matchupJason Witt: WrestlervsJosh Quinlan: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Jason Witt wins(68.7%)
Actual result: Josh Quinlan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Quinlan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Josh Quinlan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jason Witt has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Jason Witt has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Jason Witt
Red Corner
VS
Josh Quinlan
Blue Corner
+250
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-300
(75%)
39
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason Witt
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Takashi Sato · Jun 20W
SUBvs Cole Williams · Oct 20L
KOvs Matthew Semelsberger · Mar 21W
vs Bryan Barberena · Jul 21L
KOvs Phil Rowe · Feb 22Josh QuinlanL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Trey Waters · Apr 23L
KOvs Danny Barlow · Feb 24L
vs Adam Fugitt · Jun 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason WittMetricJosh Quinlan
2.15
Strikes / min
3.57
2.54
Strikes absorbed / min
6.38
52%
Strike defense
53%
6.90
TDs / 15 min
0.34
100%
Takedown defense
71%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap-2.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jason WittJosh Quinlan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason Witt(6 fights)Josh Quinlan(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.314.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Jason Witt
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6
Josh Quinlan
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4