Welterweight
3 Rounds
Phil Rowe won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 5, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJason Witt: WrestlervsPhil Rowe: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Jason Witt wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Phil Rowe wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Phil Rowe is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jason Witt has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Jason Witt has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Phil Rowe has a 25cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jason Witt
Red Corner
VS
Phil Rowe
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
39
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'3"
177.8 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason Witt
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Takashi Sato · Jun 20W
SUBvs Cole Williams · Oct 20L
KOvs Matthew Semelsberger · Mar 21W
vs Bryan Barberena · Jul 21L
KOvs Josh Quinlan · Aug 22Phil RoweL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Jun 23L
vs Jake Matthews · Jun 24W
KOvs Ange Loosa · Jun 25L
vs Seokhyeon Ko · Nov 25L
vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason WittMetricPhil Rowe
2.15
Strikes / min
3.51
2.54
Strikes absorbed / min
4.15
52%
Strike defense
50%
6.90
TDs / 15 min
0.46
100%
Takedown defense
53%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jason WittPhil Rowe
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason Witt(6 fights)Phil Rowe(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.115.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Jason Witt
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6
Phil Rowe
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8