Featherweight
4 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Brad Katona won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, July 6, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Brad Katona wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Brad Katona wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Katona has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jay Cucciniello has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jay Cucciniello
Red Corner
VS
Brad Katona
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
39
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
173 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jay CuccinielloNo prior UFC fights on record.
Brad KatonaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cody Gibson · Aug 23L
vs Garrett Armfield · Jan 24W
vs Jesse Butler · Jun 24L
vs Jean Matsumoto · Oct 24L
KOvs Bekzat Almakhan · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jay CuccinielloMetricBrad Katona
0.93
Strikes / min
4.81
4.73
Strikes absorbed / min
4.75
36%
Strike defense
50%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.86
71%
Takedown defense
61%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.80Δ 3.86 — meaningful gap+0.06
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jay Cucciniello(1 fights)Brad Katona(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jay Cucciniello
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights1
Brad Katona
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights9