Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jeff Molina won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 23, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJeff Molina: Pressure fightervsDaniel Lacerda: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Jeff Molina wins(69.5%)
Actual result: Jeff Molina wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Lacerda enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jeff Molina has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jeff Molina has 66pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Lacerda (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Jeff Molina
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Lacerda
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
28
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeff MolinaW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Aori Qileng · Apr 21W
vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov · Jun 22Daniel LacerdaL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Apr 22L
KOvs Victor Altamirano · Aug 22L
KOvs CJ Vergara · Mar 23L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeff MolinaMetricDaniel Lacerda
7.25
Strikes / min
3.95
5.04
Strikes absorbed / min
8.28
55%
Strike defense
34%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.32
66%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.21Δ 6.54 — meaningful gap-4.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jeff MolinaDaniel Lacerda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeff Molina(3 fights)Daniel Lacerda(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.349.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Jeff Molina
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3
Daniel Lacerda
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5