Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jeka Saragih won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 18, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJeka Saragih: WrestlervsLucas Alexander: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Jeka Saragih wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Jeka Saragih wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeka Saragih enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jeka Saragih is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Lucas Alexander has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Lucas Alexander has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Lucas Alexander has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jeka Saragih
Red Corner
VS
Lucas Alexander
Blue Corner
+380
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-500
(83%)
31
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
175.26 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeka SaragihL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Anshul Jubli · Feb 23L
SUBvs Westin Wilson · Jun 24L
KOvs JooSang Yoo · Jun 25Lucas Alexander
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Oct 22W
vs Steven Peterson · Mar 23L
KOvs Bogdan Grad · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeka SaragihMetricLucas Alexander
2.75
Strikes / min
4.69
2.82
Strikes absorbed / min
2.87
40%
Strike defense
56%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
0.00
66%
Takedown defense
60%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07Δ 1.89 — meaningful gap+1.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jeka SaragihLucas Alexander
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeka Saragih(4 fights)Lucas Alexander(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.618.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Jeka Saragih
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4
Lucas Alexander
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4