Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jennifer Maia won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 18, 2023·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupJennifer Maia: Pressure fightervsCasey O'Neill: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Jennifer Maia wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Jennifer Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Casey O'Neill has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jennifer Maia
Red Corner
VS
Casey O'Neill
Blue Corner
+154
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-184
(65%)
37
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'6"
162.56 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jennifer Maia
oldest →latest
W
vs Jessica Eye · Jul 21L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jan 22L
vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 22W
vs Maryna Moroz · Nov 22L
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 23Casey O'NeillW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Antonina Shevchenko · Oct 21W
vs Roxanne Modafferi · Feb 22L
SUBvs Ariane da Silva · Dec 23W
vs Luana Santos · Aug 24W
KOvs Gabriella Fernandes · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jennifer MaiaMetricCasey O'Neill
4.35
Strikes / min
7.89
4.52
Strikes absorbed / min
5.53
55%
Strike defense
57%
0.42
TDs / 15 min
1.40
58%
Takedown defense
70%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.17Δ 2.53 — meaningful gap+2.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jennifer MaiaCasey O'Neill
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jennifer Maia(10 fights)Casey O'Neill(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-44.444.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-280.0280.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Jennifer Maia
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights12
Casey O'Neill
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8