Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jeremiah Wells won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 22, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jeremiah Wells wins(61.1%)
Actual result: Jeremiah Wells wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Jeremiah Wells
Red Corner
VS
Matthew Semelsberger
Blue Corner
-102
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-116
(54%)
39
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeremiah Wells
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Blood Diamond · Feb 22W
KOvs Court McGee · Jun 22L
SUBvs Carlston Harris · Aug 23L
vs Max Griffin · Feb 24W
vs Themba Gorimbo · Nov 25Matthew SemelsbergerL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alex Morono · Jul 22W
vs Jake Matthews · Dec 22L
KOvs Uros Medic · Jul 23L
vs Preston Parsons · Jan 24L
KOvs Charles Radtke · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeremiah WellsMetricMatthew Semelsberger
2.35
Strikes / min
3.77
1.28
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
48%
Strike defense
54%
3.06
TDs / 15 min
1.01
50%
Takedown defense
45%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.07Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jeremiah WellsMatthew Semelsberger
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeremiah Wells(7 fights)Matthew Semelsberger(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Jeremiah Wells
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7
Matthew Semelsberger
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11