Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Dominick Reyes won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 2, 2017·Detroit, Michigan, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jeremy Kimball wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Dominick Reyes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Kimball is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Dominick Reyes has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Dominick Reyes is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Jeremy Kimball has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Dominick Reyes has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jeremy Kimball (54.1%).
- Dominick Reyes has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jeremy Kimball
Red Corner
VS
Dominick Reyes
Blue Corner
+415
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-525
(84%)
35
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'4"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeremy Kimball
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jan 17W
KOvs Josh Stansbury · Jun 17L
KOvs Darko Stosic · Jul 18Dominick Reyes
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Nov 22W
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jun 24W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 24W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Apr 25L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeremy KimballMetricDominick Reyes
2.81
Strikes / min
4.99
3.84
Strikes absorbed / min
3.40
49%
Strike defense
49%
1.41
TDs / 15 min
0.25
50%
Takedown defense
82%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.03Δ 2.62 — meaningful gap+1.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jeremy KimballDominick Reyes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeremy Kimball(4 fights)Dominick Reyes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Jeremy Kimball
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Dominick Reyes
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13