Featherweight
3 Rounds
Calvin Kattar won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 9, 2020·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupJeremy Stephens: Well-roundedvsCalvin Kattar: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Calvin Kattar wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Calvin Kattar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Calvin Kattar has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jeremy Stephens
Red Corner
VS
Calvin Kattar
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-250
(71%)
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jose Aldo · Jul 18L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
vs Mason Jones · May 25Calvin KattarL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Josh Emmett · Jun 22L
KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 24L
vs Youssef Zalal · Feb 25L
vs Steve Garcia · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeremy StephensMetricCalvin Kattar
3.13
Strikes / min
4.41
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
6.55
57%
Strike defense
54%
1.10
TDs / 15 min
0.34
61%
Takedown defense
77%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12Δ 2.02 — meaningful gap-2.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jeremy StephensCalvin Kattar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)Calvin Kattar(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-29.629.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+22.0-22.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jeremy Stephens
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights26
Calvin Kattar
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15