Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jeremy Stephens won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 1, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJeremy Stephens: Well-roundedvsMarcus Davis: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Jeremy Stephens wins(60.1%)
Actual result: Jeremy Stephens wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marcus Davis (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jeremy Stephens
Red Corner
VS
Marcus Davis
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
39
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
vs Mason Jones · May 25Marcus Davis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jonathan Goulet · May 10L
SUBvs Nate Diaz · Aug 10Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeremy StephensMetricMarcus Davis
3.13
Strikes / min
2.72
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
2.79
57%
Strike defense
65%
1.10
TDs / 15 min
1.60
61%
Takedown defense
47%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jeremy StephensMarcus Davis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)Marcus Davis(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Jeremy Stephens
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights26
Marcus Davis
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3