Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mason Jones won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 3, 2025·Des Moines, Iowa, USA, USA
Style matchupJeremy Stephens: Well-roundedvsMason Jones: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Mason Jones wins(63.3%)
Actual result: Mason Jones wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Jeremy Stephens
Red Corner
VS
Mason Jones
Blue Corner
+460
(18%)
Vegas Odds
-620
(86%)
39
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jose Aldo · Jul 18L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21Mason JonesW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mike Davis · Jan 21W
vs David Onama · Oct 21L
vs Ludovit Klein · Jul 22W
KOvs Bolaji Oki · Sep 25W
vs Axel Sola · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeremy StephensMetricMason Jones
3.13
Strikes / min
5.98
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
4.45
57%
Strike defense
50%
1.10
TDs / 15 min
3.48
61%
Takedown defense
73%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap+1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jeremy StephensMason Jones
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)Mason Jones(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-41.841.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+371.0-371.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Jeremy Stephens
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights26
Mason Jones
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6