Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mateusz Gamrot won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 17, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJeremy Stephens: Well-roundedvsMateusz Gamrot: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Mateusz Gamrot wins(69.9%)
Actual result: Mateusz Gamrot wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Mateusz Gamrot has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mateusz Gamrot (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jeremy Stephens
Red Corner
VS
Mateusz Gamrot
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-275
(73%)
39
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jose Aldo · Jul 18L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
vs Mason Jones · May 25Mateusz Gamrot
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Sep 23W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Mar 24L
vs Dan Hooker · Aug 24W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 25L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeremy StephensMetricMateusz Gamrot
3.13
Strikes / min
3.21
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
2.81
57%
Strike defense
60%
1.10
TDs / 15 min
5.22
61%
Takedown defense
83%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12evenly matched on net striking+0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jeremy StephensMateusz Gamrot
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.811.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+336.0-336.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Jeremy Stephens
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights26
Mateusz Gamrot
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12