Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ryan Jensen won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 29, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJesse Forbes: Submission grapplervsRyan Jensen: Submission grappler
Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.
Model Prediction: Jesse Forbes wins(66.0%)
Actual result: Ryan Jensen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jesse Forbes has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jesse Forbes (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jesse Forbes
Red Corner
VS
Ryan Jensen
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
41
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jesse ForbesNo prior UFC fights on record.
Ryan JensenL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 10L
SUBvs Jason MacDonald · Apr 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jesse ForbesMetricRyan Jensen
2.11
Strikes / min
2.84
4.06
Strikes absorbed / min
2.99
53%
Strike defense
59%
1.79
TDs / 15 min
1.55
66%
Takedown defense
31%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.95Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap-0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jesse ForbesRyan Jensen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jesse Forbes(1 fights)Ryan Jensen(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jesse Forbes
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights1
Ryan Jensen
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3