Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Lee won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, July 6, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJesse Ronson: Well-roundedvsKevin Lee: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jesse Ronson wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Kevin Lee wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Lee enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jesse Ronson threatens submissions; Kevin Lee has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Kevin Lee has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jesse Ronson (53.5%).
- Kevin Lee has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jesse Ronson
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Lee
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
40
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jesse RonsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Michel Prazeres · Sep 13L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 14W
SUBvs Nicolas Dalby · Jul 20L
SUBvs Rafa Garcia · Apr 22L
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Oct 22Kevin LeeL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · May 19W
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Nov 19L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Mar 20L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 21L
SUBvs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jesse RonsonMetricKevin Lee
3.54
Strikes / min
3.88
3.39
Strikes absorbed / min
3.60
57%
Strike defense
50%
0.46
TDs / 15 min
3.18
57%
Takedown defense
75%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.15evenly matched on net striking+0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jesse RonsonKevin Lee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jesse Ronson(6 fights)Kevin Lee(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.818.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Jesse Ronson
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6
Kevin Lee
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19